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Oil, Protection Shares Bounce on Geopolitical Escalation

March 2, 2026
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The Every day Breakdown seems at markets as geopolitical tensions escalate within the Center East. The S&P 500 exams a current help degree.

Earlier than we dive in, let’s ensure you’re set to obtain The Every day Breakdown every morning. To maintain getting our day by day insights, all you want to do is log in to your eToro account.

What’s Taking place?

This week is beginning with a jolt of geopolitically pushed volatility after a coordinated strike within the Center East over the weekend. Oil and the USO ETF are spiking, lifting vitality shares, with the XLE ETF up about 4% in pre-market buying and selling. In the meantime, the opposite 10 sectors are decrease because the S&P 500 is down about 1%, whereas the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 are below much more stress.

Silver and gold are increased as buyers rotate to security, and the US greenback is up as properly. Bitcoin is roughly flat, as are Ethereum, Solana, and different main cryptocurrencies — following a notable lack of volatility via the weekend.

General, if uncertainty persists or tensions escalate, volatility may keep elevated and hold buyers tilted towards defensive belongings.

What to Watch

Friday’s jobs report is the important thing macro occasion, whereas the earnings calendar contains: Goal, Greatest Purchase, CrowdStrike, Costco, and Broadcom.

Wish to obtain these insights straight to your inbox?

Enroll right here

The Setup — SPY ETF

Chart as of 8:30 a.m. ET on 3/2/2026. Supply: eToro ProCharts, courtesy of TradingView.

With this morning’s transfer, the SPY ETF is as soon as once more testing the $670 to $675 help zone. The $695 to $700 space has additionally acted as resistance for a lot of 2026. If volatility retains rising, merchants will likely be watching to see whether or not help breaks and a deeper pullback develops — or if it holds and provides bulls extra confidence.

Choices

The SPY ETF is one the few belongings that helps day by day expiration. 

Buyers who’re bullish may contemplate calls or name spreads as one option to speculate on additional upside, whereas bearish buyers may contemplate places or put spreads to invest on an additional transfer to the draw back. For choices merchants, it could be advantageous to have sufficient time till the choice’s expiration. 

To be taught extra about choices, contemplate visiting the eToro Academy.

What Wall Road’s Watching

LMT

Lockheed Martin is leaping this morning and is on observe for recent all-time highs as protection shares rally amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Northrop Grumman, Boeing, L3Harris, RTX, and Basic Dynamics are additionally buying and selling increased.

NVDA

Regardless of sturdy earnings outcomes, Nvidia declined greater than 6% final week. Shares are below slight stress this morning as buyers now eye the current $170 to $175 space as attainable help, alongside the 200-day transferring common. Try NVDA’s chart or dig into its fundamentals.

Disclaimer:

Please be aware that as a result of market volatility, a few of the costs might have already been reached and eventualities performed out.



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Tags: DefenseEscalationGeopoliticalJumpOilStocks
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