Bitcoin (BTC) is mirroring the identical setup from its 2022 bull cycle, which led to an enormous worth crash to $20,000. In keeping with market professional Crypto Bullet, this recurring construction may sign one other main correction for BTC forward. Nonetheless, this time the main cryptocurrency may hand over virtually 1 / 4 of its present worth.
2022 Bitcoin Chart Sample Indicators Over 20% Crash
In his technical evaluation launched on X, Crypto Bullet revealed that Bitcoin is at the moment repeating a 2022 construction that might result in a greater than 20% decline in its worth. To assist his bearish outlook, the analyst introduced a parallel chart evaluating Bitcoin’s worth motion from 2023-2022 and 2025-2026, highlighting comparable technical patterns, worth habits, and Shifting Averages (MA).
In the course of the 2022 cycle, Bitcoin skilled the same sample, starting with a take a look at of the 100-day Shifting Common (MA100), highlighted because the blue trendline on the chart. After dealing with rejection at that stage, the worth pulled again to a close-by assist zone inside a rising channel. From there, BTC staged a pointy rally, surging to contemporary highs round $48,500, the place it aligned with the 200-day Shifting Common (MA200), marked in orange.
Nonetheless, the restoration proved short-lived. Bitcoin quickly reversed course and didn’t reclaim the MA200 as assist. As soon as the cryptocurrency’s worth construction was misplaced, draw back momentum accelerated, pushing the worth right into a a lot deeper correction towards the $20,000 stage.
In keeping with Crypto Bullet, Bitcoin is repeating this actual sample in 2026. It has already retested the MA100, gotten rejected, and moved decrease right into a assist zone inside the same ascending channel. The chart additionally confirmed that in each cycles, BTC reached a “market cycle prime,” first round December 2023 after which once more in November 2025, earlier than breaking down and getting into a consolidation part.
Given how carefully Bitcoin is mirroring its 2022 setup, Crypto Bullet has forecast one other dramatic worth crash, predicting a greater than 23.5% drop from its present worth close to $89,500 to $68,450. Earlier than this decline occurs, the analyst expects BTC to expertise a short-term restoration, doubtlessly climbing again above the $100,000 psychological stage to achieve $102,000.
Bitcoin Might Nonetheless Rally To $92,000
Crypto analyst Tyrex has acknowledged that Bitcoin has been consolidating for the previous 48 hours, with worth holding above $89,000 for many of that interval. Regardless of the muted worth motion, he believes that BTC may quickly rally to $92,000. The analyst additionally famous that the broader market is in a state of worry, with many merchants anticipating additional declines in Bitcoin.
Nonetheless, the analyst cautions that this anticipated drop could also be a entice. He factors out that an ascending channel is forming on Bitcoin’s chart, prompting him to undertake a extra bullish outlook regardless of the prevailing bearish sentiment and sideways worth motion.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
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