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Coinbase Asks Courts to Bar States From Regulating Prediction Markets

December 22, 2025
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Coinbase has sued Connecticut, Illinois and Michigan
in federal courtroom, arguing that state officers are unlawfully making an attempt to
regulate prediction markets as playing merchandise.

The crypto alternate needs judges to substantiate that
event-based contracts on its platform fall underneath the unique jurisdiction of
the US Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC), not state gaming
regulators, Coinbase’s Chief Authorized Officer Paul Grewal introduced on
X.

Coinbase has filed federal lawsuits in opposition to
Connecticut, Michigan and Illinois, arguing that these states can’t use
playing statutes to close down or limit prediction markets.

The complaints search declaratory and injunctive reduction
that might set up CFTC because the
sole regulator of occasion contracts listed on its platform.

What Coinbase Is Combating Over

Prediction markets enable customers to purchase and promote
contracts linked to future outcomes, from sports activities outcomes to financial coverage
choices or election outcomes. The contracts settle based mostly on whether or not an occasion happens,
which makes them a type of by-product whose worth is dependent upon a future state of
the world.

In the present day @coinbase filed lawsuits in CT, MI, and IL to substantiate what is evident: prediction markets fall squarely underneath the jurisdiction of the @CFTC, not any particular person state gaming regulator (not to mention 50). State efforts to manage or outright block these markets stifle innovation…

— paulgrewal.eth (@iampaulgrewal) December 19, 2025

State gaming companies in Connecticut, Illinois and
different jurisdictions argue that many of those contracts, particularly
sports-related ones, perform as unlicensed betting and subsequently fall underneath
playing regulation.

Chief Authorized Officer Paul Grewal framed the lawsuits as
a take a look at of federal preemption, insisting that “prediction markets fall squarely
underneath the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee, not any
particular person state gaming regulator.” He described state makes an attempt to manage or
block these markets as efforts that “stifle innovation and violate the regulation.”

Proceed studying: Coinbase Enters Prediction Markets because the Amazonification of Monetary Platforms Gathers Tempo

Grewal drew a pointy line between prediction markets
and conventional sportsbooks, arguing that “casinos win provided that you lose and set
odds to maximise their income,” whereas “prediction markets are impartial
exchanges, detached to cost, that match consumers and sellers.”

States Push Again as Business Tensions Rise

Coinbase’s Illinois submitting states that it introduced the
case to cease officers from “unlawfully making use of Illinois playing legal guidelines to
federally regulated transactions” that it says fall underneath the CFTC’s unique
jurisdiction.

“Prediction markets are essentially totally different from sportsbooks. Casinos win provided that you lose and set odds to maximise their income. Prediction markets are impartial exchanges, detached to cost, that match consumers and sellers,” Grewal argued.

Coinbase lately introduced that it’s getting into the prediction markets enterprise by means of a partnership with Kalshi, extending its
providing past conventional crypto buying and selling.

Coinbase shouldn’t be the one agency focusing on prediction
markets, as Robinhood has already developed a quickly rising enterprise on this
space by means of its partnership with Kalshi.

This text was written by Jared Kirui at www.financemagnates.com.



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